AVAX’s 40% decline since July: A setup for a bullish reversal?


  • AVAX price approaches key resistance at $24.9.
  • Liquidation data indicates increased market activity.

The Avalanche [AVAX] token is currently hovering around the key price level of $23.5, and this has sparked talks of potential price reversals.  

AVAX has declined by over 40% since the 22nd of July. Market participants are observing closely for patterns of waning bearish pressure.

The recent 4% price movement implies that bullish momentum may be forming, which may in turn rise as it approaches the critical resistance level at $24.9.

AVAXUSD 2024 08 03 14 13 01 f6c3e

Source: Tradingview

The stochastic RSI indicates an oversold market, which further fuels a potential reversal to upside momentum.

Liquidation heatmap signals increased AVAX activity

According to liquidation heatmap data from Coinglass, market activity has increased. The data indicate a concentration of liquidations around the $23–$24 zone. 

Market participants are observing this price level, anticipating potential breakouts or rejections.

Binance AVAX USDT Liquidation Heatmap24 hour 2024 08 03 14 05 30Binance AVAX USDT Liquidation Heatmap24 hour 2024 08 03 14 05 30

Source: Coinglass

Long-term holder behavior hints at bullish sentiment

Interestingly, the long-term holder behavior for AVAX indicates a potential bullish run.  The distribution of AVAX among whales, investors, and retail holders indicates a steady increase in investor holdings since mid-2022.

AVAXAVAX

Source: IntoTheBlock

The IntoTheBlock data on the large number of transactions indicates a positive trajectory.  Despite the fluctuations in the large transactions, there is an overall increase, suggesting an increased interest in the Avalanche token at current levels.

ITB avax number of large transactions avalanche c chain 2024 08 03T10 26 44.309ZITB avax number of large transactions avalanche c chain 2024 08 03T10 26 44.309Z

AVAX

Source: IntoTheBlock

Market participants are keenly observing for signs of a potential price reversal as AVAX approaches the key resistance level of $23.5.  


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The recent 4% spike in price and the accumulating bullish momentum fuel this possibility.  The long-term holder data and recent price actions signal a potential bullish run.

However, a rejection at the $23.5 level could lead to a short-term pullback.

 

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