Bitcoin to fall below $66K in 7 days IF these signs pan out

  • Bitcoin’s trend score falls below zero.
  • BTC has held on weakly to the $66,000 price range. 

Recent data suggested that certain Bitcoin [BTC] whales have been reducing their holdings lately.

While this development might initially imply negative sentiments, other metrics indicated that it’s not necessarily a cause for alarm, at least not now.

Bitcoin whales distribute holdings

AMBCrypto’s analysis of the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score on Glassnode revealed a significant shift, with the score hovering around zero.

As of press time, the Trend Score stood at approximately 0.026, marking one of its lowest points in recent times. 

Bitcoin Trend Score

Source: Glassnode

The Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score serves as an indicator of the relative size of entities actively accumulating coins on-chain, measured by their BTC holdings.

The scale of this score reflects both the entities’ balance size and the number of new coins acquired or sold over the last month.

A score closer to 1 suggests that larger entities or a significant portion of the network are accumulating. In contrast, a value closer to 0 indicates distribution or a lack of accumulation.

Smaller Bitcoin addresses mop up sell-offs

AMBCrypto’s analysis of the supply distribution metric on Santiment revealed a notable decrease in the holdings of Bitcoin whales. Holdings from these addresses declined from close to 3% to around 2.8%.

However, AMBCrypto observed that while major whale addresses experienced a decline, other whale addresses were accumulating. 

Bitcoin whale addressesBitcoin whale addresses

Source: Santiment

Further examination of the chart illustrated that although these addresses also encountered some drops, they have rebounded.

In contrast to the stagnant trend of major whale addresses, these other addresses have exhibited activity.

This suggests that not all whale addresses are distributing their holdings; instead, some are actively accumulating.

Bitcoin holders continue to grow

Examining the total number of holders on Santiment showed ongoing growth. At the time of writing, the total number of Bitcoin holders stood at 53.68 million.

This figure suggested an addition of approximately 1 million holders between 1st April and press time. 

This increase in the number of holders implied that the accumulation of BTC had not experienced a significant decline, despite the distribution observed from whale addresses.

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

BTC trends weakly on the neutral line

As of press time, Bitcoin was striving to sustain the $66,000 price level. According to AMBCrypto’s analysis of the daily timeframe chart, it was trading at around $66,600, reflecting a less than 1% increase.

Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a weak bull trend as well. AMBCrypto’s look at the RSI revealed a slight ascent above the neutral line when the price surged by around 2.7% on 22nd April.

Bitcoin price trendBitcoin price trend

Source: TradingView

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